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USDA US Supply/Demand Rice Reports
Apr 11,2007 00:00
by
dailynews
Only minor changes are made to the U.S. 2006/07 rice supply and use projections. On the supply side, all rice imports are raised 1.0 million cwt to a record 20.0 million cwt with long-grain imports up 1.0 million cwt, while combined medium- and short-grain imports are unchanged. Imports of fragrant long-grain rice from Thailand, which are larger than expected through the first half of the marketing year (based on Census data through January), account for most of the increase. No changes are made on the use side from a month ago. Ending stocks of all rice are projected at 31.9 million cwt, 1.0 million cwt above last month, but 11.1 million cwt below a year earlier. The season-average farm price is projected at $9.75 to $9.95 per cwt, unchanged from a month ago. Global production, imports, and exports are raised slightly from last month, while beginning stocks, consumption, and ending stocks are lowered slightly. Global production is raised less than 0.1 million tons on a number of nearly offsetting changes. On the plus side, production is raised for Egypt, Cote D'Ivoire, Burma, Nigeria, and Venezuela, while production is lowered for Pakistan, Japan, and Argentina. Exports are raised for Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam and lowered for Burma. Imports are increased for Colombia, Iraq, and the United States. Global ending stocks are projected at 78.9 million tons, about 0.2 million tons below last month, and 2.6 million tons below 2005/06. The slight decline in ending stocks is due primarily to decreases for India, Thailand, and Vietnam; which is nearly offset by increases for Egypt, Cote D'Ivoire, Burma, and Nigeria.
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